CS2Lab›Case Simulator›Fever Case
Fever Case
MARKETPLACE ONLYNo longer in drop pool (removed Dec 2025)

Fever Case

Case

CASE PRICE
$0.98
Steam Market floor
KEY PRICE
$2.49
Standard key
COST PER OPEN
$3.47
Case + key
EXPECTED VALUE
$1.92
Avg return per open
PROFIT / LOSS
$-1.55
Per open (EV − cost)
ROI
-44.6%
Return on investment
📉
NEGATIVE EXPECTED VALUE

Opening this case costs $3.47 but returns an average of $1.92 per open — a loss of $1.55 (44.6% negative ROI). The vast majority of CS2 cases have negative EV. Opening is entertainment, not investment.

DROP RATES & CONTENTS

79.92% mil spec15.98% restricted3.20% classified0.640% covert0.260% rare special
FAMAS | Bad Trip
Bad Trip
0.320% chance per open
$68.96
ST™ $65.00
AWP | Printstream
Printstream
0.320% chance per open
$67.68
ST™ $88.98
★ Survival Knife
★ Survival Knife
0.0050% chance per open
$86.45
ST™ $101.16
★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade
Marble Fade
0.0050% chance per open
$218.52
ST™ $264.54
★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth
Tiger Tooth
0.0050% chance per open
$161.40
ST™ $222.90
★ Survival Knife | Doppler Phase 3
Doppler Phase 3
0.0050% chance per open
$251.94
ST™ $314.67
★ Survival Knife | Doppler Phase 4
Doppler Phase 4
0.0050% chance per open
$287.59
ST™ $371.91
★ Survival Knife | Doppler Black Pearl
Doppler Black Pearl
0.0050% chance per open
no price
★ Survival Knife | Doppler Ruby
Doppler Ruby
0.0050% chance per open
$725.64
★ Survival Knife | Doppler Sapphire
Doppler Sapphire
0.0050% chance per open
$506.00
ST™ $623.29
★ Survival Knife | Doppler Phase 1
Doppler Phase 1
0.0050% chance per open
$266.48
ST™ $316.17
★ Survival Knife | Doppler Phase 2
Doppler Phase 2
0.0050% chance per open
$297.77
★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel
Damascus Steel
0.0050% chance per open
$103.36
ST™ $110.33
★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet
Ultraviolet
0.0050% chance per open
$95.10
ST™ $114.66
★ Survival Knife | Rust Coat
Rust Coat
0.0050% chance per open
$70.00
ST™ $82.89
★ Skeleton Knife
★ Skeleton Knife
0.0050% chance per open
$383.83
ST™ $390.62
★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade
Marble Fade
0.0050% chance per open
$642.29
ST™ $709.33
★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth
Tiger Tooth
0.0050% chance per open
$504.07
ST™ $541.31
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Phase 3
Doppler Phase 3
0.0050% chance per open
$893.94
ST™ $907.83
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Phase 4
Doppler Phase 4
0.0050% chance per open
$992.44
ST™ $964.94
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Black Pearl
Doppler Black Pearl
0.0050% chance per open
no price
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Ruby
Doppler Ruby
0.0050% chance per open
$4,140
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Sapphire
Doppler Sapphire
0.0050% chance per open
$2,220
ST™ $2,180
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Phase 1
Doppler Phase 1
0.0050% chance per open
$902.75
ST™ $907.83
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler Phase 2
Doppler Phase 2
0.0050% chance per open
$1,236
ST™ $1,071
★ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel
Damascus Steel
0.0050% chance per open
$296.33
ST™ $397.52
★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet
Ultraviolet
0.0050% chance per open
$265.93
ST™ $322.99
★ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat
Rust Coat
0.0050% chance per open
$190.00
ST™ $199.27
★ Paracord Knife
★ Paracord Knife
0.0050% chance per open
$92.80
ST™ $102.37
★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade
Marble Fade
0.0050% chance per open
$215.00
ST™ $264.50
★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth
Tiger Tooth
0.0050% chance per open
$172.92
ST™ $220.08
★ Paracord Knife | Doppler Phase 3
Doppler Phase 3
0.0050% chance per open
$302.08
ST™ $320.39
★ Paracord Knife | Doppler Phase 4
Doppler Phase 4
0.0050% chance per open
$374.92
ST™ $295.15
★ Paracord Knife | Doppler Black Pearl
Doppler Black Pearl
0.0050% chance per open
no price
★ Paracord Knife | Doppler Ruby
Doppler Ruby
0.0050% chance per open
$920.00
ST™ $878.58
★ Paracord Knife | Doppler Sapphire
Doppler Sapphire
0.0050% chance per open
$619.85
ST™ $645.20
★ Paracord Knife | Doppler Phase 1
Doppler Phase 1
0.0050% chance per open
$289.79
ST™ $320.17
★ Paracord Knife | Doppler Phase 2
Doppler Phase 2
0.0050% chance per open
$332.63
★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel
Damascus Steel
0.0050% chance per open
$97.75
ST™ $110.34
★ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet
Ultraviolet
0.0050% chance per open
$100.00
ST™ $124.89
★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat
Rust Coat
0.0050% chance per open
$75.44
ST™ $90.40
★ Nomad Knife
★ Nomad Knife
0.0050% chance per open
$212.12
ST™ $213.21
★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade
Marble Fade
0.0050% chance per open
$368.93
ST™ $550.13
★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth
Tiger Tooth
0.0050% chance per open
$295.00
ST™ $349.66
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler Phase 3
Doppler Phase 3
0.0050% chance per open
$513.43
ST™ $569.25
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler Phase 4
Doppler Phase 4
0.0050% chance per open
$581.52
ST™ $575.00
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler Black Pearl
Doppler Black Pearl
0.0050% chance per open
$2,070
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler Ruby
Doppler Ruby
0.0050% chance per open
$1,873
ST™ $1,875
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler Sapphire
Doppler Sapphire
0.0050% chance per open
$1,334
ST™ $1,181
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler Phase 1
Doppler Phase 1
0.0050% chance per open
$523.54
ST™ $1,190
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler Phase 2
Doppler Phase 2
0.0050% chance per open
$683.86
ST™ $752.09
★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel
Damascus Steel
0.0050% chance per open
$196.16
ST™ $198.71
★ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet
Ultraviolet
0.0050% chance per open
$153.38
ST™ $197.17
★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat
Rust Coat
0.0050% chance per open
$148.35
ST™ $159.55

ABOUT THESE NUMBERS

Drop rates:Official — published by Valve via Perfect World (China) in September 2017 and verified across millions of community case openings.
StatTrak probability:10% — community-verified across tens of millions of openings. Not officially published by Valve.
Prices:Steam Market floor ask. Updated every ~4 hours. EV is a mathematical average — actual results vary greatly.
EV disclaimer:Nearly all cases have negative EV. Opening cases is entertainment, not a trading strategy. Never open cases expecting profit.
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