Question 1

What are the CS2 case drop rates?

Accepted Answer

CS2 case drop rates are official figures published by Valve: Mil-Spec (blue) 79.92%, Restricted (purple) 15.98%, Classified (pink) 3.20%, Covert (red) 0.64%, Rare Special (knife/gloves) 0.26%. These apply to all standard weapon cases.

Question 2

What are the odds of getting a knife in CS2?

Accepted Answer

The overall knife/glove drop rate is 0.26% per case open. Each specific knife finish is rarer — dividing 0.26% across all knives and finishes in the rare pool, a specific knife can be as rare as 1 in 20,000 opens.

Question 3

Is opening CS2 cases worth it?

Accepted Answer

Mathematically, nearly all CS2 cases have negative expected value — you lose money on average. The cost of a case plus key typically exceeds the average return by 30–70%. Opening cases is entertainment, not investment.

Question 4

What is the StatTrak drop rate in CS2?

Accepted Answer

StatTrak items have a 10% probability on any eligible roll. This is community-verified across tens of millions of case openings, though Valve has not officially published this figure.

Question 5

Which CS2 cases can still drop from weekly care packages?

Accepted Answer

As of March 2026, only 5 cases are in the active weekly drop pool: Sealed Dead Hand Terminal, Sealed Genesis Terminal, Kilowatt Case, Revolution Case, and Dreams & Nightmares Case. All other cases must be purchased on the Steam Market.

Fracture Case

DROP RATES & CONTENTS

ABOUT THESE NUMBERS