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CS2Lab›Case Simulator›Gallery Case
Gallery Case
MARKETPLACE ONLYNo longer in drop pool (removed Dec 2025)

Gallery Case

Case

CASE PRICE
$1.49
Steam Market floor
KEY PRICE
$2.49
Standard key
COST PER OPEN
$3.98
Case + key
EXPECTED VALUE
$2.54
Avg return per open
PROFIT / LOSS
$-1.44
Per open (EV − cost)
ROI
-36.2%
Return on investment
📉
NEGATIVE EXPECTED VALUE

Opening this case costs $3.98 but returns an average of $2.54 per open — a loss of $1.44 (36.2% negative ROI). The vast majority of CS2 cases have negative EV. Opening is entertainment, not investment.

DROP RATES & CONTENTS

15.98% restricted79.92% mil spec3.20% classified0.260% rare special0.640% covert
★ Kukri Knife
★ Kukri Knife
0.020% chance per open
$149.99
ST™ $161.28
★ Kukri Knife | Fade
Fade
0.020% chance per open
$253.77
ST™ $275.80
★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter
Slaughter
0.020% chance per open
$191.72
ST™ $201.55
★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel
Blue Steel
0.020% chance per open
$112.98
ST™ $135.58
★ Kukri Knife | Stained
Stained
0.020% chance per open
$92.26
ST™ $98.47
★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened
Case Hardened
0.020% chance per open
$144.81
ST™ $179.30
★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT
Forest DDPAT
0.020% chance per open
$65.45
ST™ $72.71
★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest
Boreal Forest
0.020% chance per open
$64.49
ST™ $69.80
★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web
Crimson Web
0.020% chance per open
$106.61
ST™ $126.09
★ Kukri Knife | Scorched
Scorched
0.020% chance per open
$59.86
ST™ $83.05
★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh
Safari Mesh
0.020% chance per open
$61.00
ST™ $67.67
★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe
Night Stripe
0.020% chance per open
$74.30
ST™ $79.35
★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked
Urban Masked
0.020% chance per open
$69.80
ST™ $86.90
Glock-18 | Gold Toof
Gold Toof
0.320% chance per open
$45.00
ST™ $53.30
M4A1-S | Vaporwave
Vaporwave
0.320% chance per open
$61.64
ST™ $136.81

ABOUT THESE NUMBERS

Drop rates:Official — published by Valve via Perfect World (China) in September 2017 and verified across millions of community case openings.
StatTrak probability:10% — community-verified across tens of millions of openings. Not officially published by Valve.
Prices:Steam Market floor ask. Updated every ~4 hours. EV is a mathematical average — actual results vary greatly.
EV disclaimer:Nearly all cases have negative EV. Opening cases is entertainment, not a trading strategy. Never open cases expecting profit.
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