CS2Lab›Case Simulator›Horizon Case
Horizon Case
MARKETPLACE ONLYNo longer in drop pool (removed Dec 2025)

Horizon Case

Case

CASE PRICE
$2.55
Steam Market floor
KEY PRICE
$2.49
Standard key
COST PER OPEN
$5.04
Case + key
EXPECTED VALUE
$3.76
Avg return per open
PROFIT / LOSS
$-1.28
Per open (EV − cost)
ROI
-25.4%
Return on investment
📉
NEGATIVE EXPECTED VALUE

Opening this case costs $5.04 but returns an average of $3.76 per open — a loss of $1.28 (25.4% negative ROI). The vast majority of CS2 cases have negative EV. Opening is entertainment, not investment.

DROP RATES & CONTENTS

79.92% mil spec15.98% restricted3.20% classified0.640% covert0.260% rare special
AK-47 | Neon Rider
Neon Rider
0.320% chance per open
$60.04
ST™ $124.82
Desert Eagle | Code Red
Code Red
0.320% chance per open
$54.17
ST™ $87.63
★ Navaja Knife
★ Navaja Knife
0.0050% chance per open
$71.68
ST™ $87.63
★ Navaja Knife | Fade
Fade
0.0050% chance per open
$155.96
ST™ $260.87
★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web
Crimson Web
0.0050% chance per open
$92.61
ST™ $123.62
★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter
Slaughter
0.0050% chance per open
$138.61
ST™ $177.44
★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened
Case Hardened
0.0050% chance per open
$110.00
ST™ $169.31
★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked
Urban Masked
0.0050% chance per open
$63.59
ST™ $91.83
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel
Blue Steel
0.0050% chance per open
$80.50
ST™ $117.26
★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe
Night Stripe
0.0050% chance per open
$65.55
ST™ $76.33
★ Navaja Knife | Stained
Stained
0.0050% chance per open
$66.86
ST™ $98.99
★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT
Forest DDPAT
0.0050% chance per open
$63.75
ST™ $85.10
★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest
Boreal Forest
0.0050% chance per open
$63.38
ST™ $88.20
★ Navaja Knife | Scorched
Scorched
0.0050% chance per open
$64.93
ST™ $83.84
★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh
Safari Mesh
0.0050% chance per open
$63.05
ST™ $80.00
★ Stiletto Knife
★ Stiletto Knife
0.0050% chance per open
$294.31
ST™ $328.00
★ Stiletto Knife | Fade
Fade
0.0050% chance per open
$691.43
ST™ $789.87
★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web
Crimson Web
0.0050% chance per open
$284.91
ST™ $333.59
★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter
Slaughter
0.0050% chance per open
$541.84
ST™ $561.96
★ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened
Case Hardened
0.0050% chance per open
$322.28
ST™ $450.00
★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked
Urban Masked
0.0050% chance per open
$200.10
ST™ $239.70
★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel
Blue Steel
0.0050% chance per open
$291.67
ST™ $305.48
★ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe
Night Stripe
0.0050% chance per open
$207.61
ST™ $246.00
★ Stiletto Knife | Stained
Stained
0.0050% chance per open
$250.32
ST™ $243.51
★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT
Forest DDPAT
0.0050% chance per open
$182.94
ST™ $199.99
★ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest
Boreal Forest
0.0050% chance per open
$175.00
ST™ $190.93
★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched
Scorched
0.0050% chance per open
$198.20
ST™ $230.43
★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh
Safari Mesh
0.0050% chance per open
$181.70
ST™ $185.57
★ Talon Knife
★ Talon Knife
0.0050% chance per open
$514.66
ST™ $550.97
★ Talon Knife | Fade
Fade
0.0050% chance per open
$1,250
ST™ $1,668
★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web
Crimson Web
0.0050% chance per open
$512.01
ST™ $525.00
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter
Slaughter
0.0050% chance per open
$690.00
ST™ $995.99
★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened
Case Hardened
0.0050% chance per open
$560.17
ST™ $658.85
★ Talon Knife | Urban Masked
Urban Masked
0.0050% chance per open
$342.79
ST™ $331.01
★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel
Blue Steel
0.0050% chance per open
$555.00
ST™ $582.16
★ Talon Knife | Night Stripe
Night Stripe
0.0050% chance per open
$347.93
ST™ $371.99
★ Talon Knife | Stained
Stained
0.0050% chance per open
$403.51
ST™ $424.28
★ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT
Forest DDPAT
0.0050% chance per open
$311.00
ST™ $344.56
★ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest
Boreal Forest
0.0050% chance per open
$313.69
ST™ $331.45
★ Talon Knife | Scorched
Scorched
0.0050% chance per open
$320.85
ST™ $325.28
★ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh
Safari Mesh
0.0050% chance per open
$303.60
ST™ $269.59
★ Ursus Knife
★ Ursus Knife
0.0050% chance per open
$155.07
ST™ $164.33
★ Ursus Knife | Fade
Fade
0.0050% chance per open
$300.00
ST™ $360.14
★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web
Crimson Web
0.0050% chance per open
$183.91
ST™ $223.53
★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter
Slaughter
0.0050% chance per open
$258.70
ST™ $289.80
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened
Case Hardened
0.0050% chance per open
$167.97
ST™ $230.00
★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked
Urban Masked
0.0050% chance per open
$106.15
ST™ $117.30
★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel
Blue Steel
0.0050% chance per open
$129.77
ST™ $172.85
★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe
Night Stripe
0.0050% chance per open
$107.71
ST™ $133.24
★ Ursus Knife | Stained
Stained
0.0050% chance per open
$110.34
ST™ $132.78
★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT
Forest DDPAT
0.0050% chance per open
$89.05
ST™ $114.49
★ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest
Boreal Forest
0.0050% chance per open
$89.96
ST™ $104.90
★ Ursus Knife | Scorched
Scorched
0.0050% chance per open
$99.74
ST™ $120.75
★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh
Safari Mesh
0.0050% chance per open
$86.16
ST™ $107.71

ABOUT THESE NUMBERS

Drop rates:Official — published by Valve via Perfect World (China) in September 2017 and verified across millions of community case openings.
StatTrak probability:10% — community-verified across tens of millions of openings. Not officially published by Valve.
Prices:Steam Market floor ask. Updated every ~4 hours. EV is a mathematical average — actual results vary greatly.
EV disclaimer:Nearly all cases have negative EV. Opening cases is entertainment, not a trading strategy. Never open cases expecting profit.
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