CS2Lab›Case Simulator›Operation Riptide Case
Operation Riptide Case
MARKETPLACE ONLYNo longer in drop pool (removed Dec 2025)

Operation Riptide Case

Case

CASE PRICE
$17.22
Steam Market floor
KEY PRICE
$2.49
Standard key
COST PER OPEN
$19.71
Case + key
EXPECTED VALUE
$7.48
Avg return per open
PROFIT / LOSS
$-12.23
Per open (EV − cost)
ROI
-62%
Return on investment
📉
NEGATIVE EXPECTED VALUE

Opening this case costs $19.71 but returns an average of $7.48 per open — a loss of $12.23 (62.0% negative ROI). The vast majority of CS2 cases have negative EV. Opening is entertainment, not investment.

DROP RATES & CONTENTS

79.92% mil spec15.98% restricted3.20% classified0.640% covert0.260% rare special
AK-47 | Leet Museo
Leet Museo
0.320% chance per open
$122.17
ST™ $155.90
Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive
Ocean Drive
0.320% chance per open
$92.25
ST™ $103.77
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
0.0052% chance per open
$279.02
ST™ $308.47
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
0.0052% chance per open
$326.46
ST™ $319.72
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
0.0052% chance per open
$273.69
ST™ $307.05
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
0.0052% chance per open
$267.15
ST™ $304.82
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler Emerald
Gamma Doppler Emerald
0.0052% chance per open
$724.49
ST™ $760.50
★ Bowie Knife | Lore
Lore
0.0052% chance per open
$114.55
ST™ $153.25
★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic
Autotronic
0.0052% chance per open
$133.63
ST™ $157.96
★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate
Black Laminate
0.0052% chance per open
$87.35
ST™ $109.99
★ Bowie Knife | Freehand
Freehand
0.0052% chance per open
$106.07
ST™ $136.43
★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water
Bright Water
0.0052% chance per open
$90.46
ST™ $111.02
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
0.0052% chance per open
$2,852
ST™ $2,677
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
0.0052% chance per open
$3,665
ST™ $3,256
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
0.0052% chance per open
$2,748
ST™ $2,622
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
0.0052% chance per open
$2,680
ST™ $2,815
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler Emerald
Gamma Doppler Emerald
0.0052% chance per open
$11,782
★ Butterfly Knife | Lore
Lore
0.0052% chance per open
$795.00
ST™ $894.51
★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic
Autotronic
0.0052% chance per open
$1,079
ST™ $1,324
★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate
Black Laminate
0.0052% chance per open
$901.11
ST™ $942.89
★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand
Freehand
0.0052% chance per open
$873.49
ST™ $907.75
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water
Bright Water
0.0052% chance per open
$740.00
ST™ $727.66
★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
0.0052% chance per open
$368.39
ST™ $566.11
★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
0.0052% chance per open
$315.07
ST™ $372.50
★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
0.0052% chance per open
$292.26
ST™ $371.85
★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
0.0052% chance per open
$368.39
ST™ $346.70
★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler Emerald
Gamma Doppler Emerald
0.0052% chance per open
$707.25
ST™ $919.00
★ Falchion Knife | Lore
Lore
0.0052% chance per open
$147.95
ST™ $183.50
★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic
Autotronic
0.0052% chance per open
$147.39
ST™ $166.71
★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate
Black Laminate
0.0052% chance per open
$103.77
ST™ $120.02
★ Falchion Knife | Freehand
Freehand
0.0052% chance per open
$123.22
ST™ $156.00
★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water
Bright Water
0.0052% chance per open
$103.80
ST™ $118.76
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
0.0052% chance per open
$322.00
ST™ $331.53
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
0.0052% chance per open
$359.73
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
0.0052% chance per open
$297.94
ST™ $327.75
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
0.0052% chance per open
$303.00
ST™ $331.53
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler Emerald
Gamma Doppler Emerald
0.0052% chance per open
$943.00
ST™ $848.41
★ Huntsman Knife | Lore
Lore
0.0052% chance per open
$128.23
ST™ $155.25
★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic
Autotronic
0.0052% chance per open
$134.70
ST™ $170.40
★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate
Black Laminate
0.0052% chance per open
$103.76
ST™ $114.89
★ Huntsman Knife | Freehand
Freehand
0.0052% chance per open
$111.00
ST™ $135.37
★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water
Bright Water
0.0052% chance per open
$91.95
ST™ $109.13
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
0.0052% chance per open
$143.94
ST™ $171.79
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
0.0052% chance per open
$141.04
ST™ $166.54
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
0.0052% chance per open
$141.57
ST™ $161.00
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
0.0052% chance per open
$141.04
ST™ $159.52
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler Emerald
Gamma Doppler Emerald
0.0052% chance per open
$382.95
★ Shadow Daggers | Lore
Lore
0.0052% chance per open
$84.13
ST™ $109.85
★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic
Autotronic
0.0052% chance per open
$78.98
ST™ $92.01
★ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate
Black Laminate
0.0052% chance per open
$65.86
ST™ $82.00
★ Shadow Daggers | Freehand
Freehand
0.0052% chance per open
$79.05
ST™ $103.00
★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water
Bright Water
0.0052% chance per open
$64.56
ST™ $74.79

ABOUT THESE NUMBERS

Drop rates:Official — published by Valve via Perfect World (China) in September 2017 and verified across millions of community case openings.
StatTrak probability:10% — community-verified across tens of millions of openings. Not officially published by Valve.
Prices:Steam Market floor ask. Updated every ~4 hours. EV is a mathematical average — actual results vary greatly.
EV disclaimer:Nearly all cases have negative EV. Opening cases is entertainment, not a trading strategy. Never open cases expecting profit.
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